Covers Experts is your No. 1 source for free sports picks. Our industry-leading handicappers each provide two or three Free Picks a week, complete with predictions, analysis, and expert betting tips on some of the biggest sporting events and leagues. Think of our Free Picks as a free trial of our premium picks. Our Free Picks are also a great way to get a feel for each Covers Experts’ personal style of handicapping before jumping into a Premium Pick. Check back daily for more Free Picks and filter by sport by clicking the “All” drop-down above.
Free Picks for all sports
#919 ASA FREE PLAY ON Detroit -105 over Cleveland, Friday at 7 PM ET - Detroit throws their ace Tarik Skubal tonight while Cleveland sends their worst starter to the hill, Aaron Civale. Left hander Skubal has been fantastic this season with an ERA of 2.50 and has actually pitched better than that as his xERA (expected ERA) is 2.37. He has allowed just 7 ER’s in his last 6 starts and 5 of those came in his worst outing of the season at Minnesota. He hasn’t allowed a single earned run in 4 of his last 6 starts. When Skubal exits, surprisingly Detroit owns one of the top bullpens in all of baseball. The Tiger relievers have the 3rd best ERA and WHIP in the Majors. This pitching staff will be facing a struggling Cleveland line up that has hit just .217 as a team over their last 10 games and is hitting only .204 vs lefties this season. The Guardians were just swept at home by Cincinnati and they’ve lost 5 of their last 6 games with their only win during that stretch coming vs Minnesota by a final score of 3-2. Cleveland was actually out hit 10 to 7 in that win over Minnesota. Detroit’s problem has been their offense. They have struggled to score this season. That should all be rectified tonight facing Cleveland’s Civale. He has been terrible with an ERA of almost 10.00 on the season. He has allowed at least 6 ER’s in 3 of his last 4 starts and opposing batters are hitting .332 vs the right hander. In his last 4 starts, Civale has given up 22 ER’s in just 17.1 innings pitched. We like Detroit’s offense to come alive tonight and get this win on the road.
|DET (-104) @ pinnacle|
1* Toronto (7:07 ET): The Blue Jays have been underachieving somewhat, at least relative to preseason expectations. They are 20-18 and would be a Wild Card if the playoffs started today (long way to go, obviously), but a -12 run differential in surprising. This is a club that outscored its opponents by 183 runs last year (and somehow didn't make the playoffs). After taking two of three from Seattle to start the week, I like the Jays chances here against a Reds team that is on a rare win streak.
Cincinnati's season got off to a horrendous start, but they've now won 7 of their last 10 games including sweeping a two-game series in Cleveland. The Reds did actually produce three straight wins last week, but two of them came against the Pirates. The numbers are still very ugly for this team as it is being outscored by 2.4 runs per game on the road. No team has given up more runs this season.
Hyun-Jin Ryu's three starts for Toronto haven't necessarily gone great, but he should dominate a lineup that is batting just .199 on the road. Luis Castillo goes for the road team and this will be the toughest lineup he's faced in 2022. There's only one way this series opener is likely to go. 1* Toronto
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our Friday Free Play. Minnesota took two of three games in Oakland to open the week and face another bad team as it looks to pad its lead in the American League Central. The Twins have a three-game lead over the White Sox in the division who have a tough weekend test on the road against the Yankees. Minnesota is ranked No. 5 in runs allowed per nine innings and at 9-9 on the road, it brings in a solid 3.56 ERA from the starting pitching. The Twins send Devin Smeltzer to the hill who is coming off a solid first start where he allowed one run on three hits over five innings against Cleveland. The Twins are 7-2 in their last nine games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Kansas City is coming off a 7-4 loss against the White Sox after blowing a 4-0 lead which snapped a two-game winning streak that resulted in a series split. Kansas City has been up and down this season as the Royals are 8-18 over their last 26 games. They are in fourth place in the American League Central, 7.5 games out of first place, and have struggled on both sides. Kansas City is ranked No. 23 or worse in all three major stat categories on offense and defense and while the offense is in a tough spot, the pitching is worse off. The Royals are 1-8 in their last nine games as a home underdog. Here, we play on American League teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and coming off a win by 10 or more runs going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 28-11 (71.8 percent) since 1997. Play (923) Minnesota Twins
NHL 11-6 postseason start! 371-326 +$19,721 record since 2018 while the NBA is 93-79 L172 Plays. Both are back in action on Friday as the postseason is heating up so do not miss a single play and grab a subscription! Baseball is ready for a big surge and we are expecting a big weekend following an Awesome 5-1 Run.
Ricky's 1* play on NYR +1.5.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
- The Rangers are 9-3 in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
- The Rangers are 35-17 in the last 52 meetings.
- The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Carolina.
Verdict: Another close game seems more than likely here.
|1.5 NYR (-165) @ pinnacle|
Machine value grade B
Edmonton Oilers picks are 30-18-1 when after a straight-up loss as an underdog since 2019-02-28 with a profit of +14 units
Edmonton Oilers picks are 27-21-0 when the point spread absolute value is less than current point spread since 2015-01-04 with a profit of +13 units
Edmonton Oilers picks are 20-17-0 when the money line is within +/-15% of the current money line since 2019-04-06 with a profit of +12 units
My free play is on the LA Dodgers at 7:05 ET.
The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest active streak in MLB. Philly spent last Thursday through Sunday in LA for a four-game series with the Dodgers, who saw their streak of EIGHT straight NL West titles end in 2021 (Giants won 107 games to LA's 106) but made the postseason for the NINTH consecutive season. The sub-.500 Phillies took the first THREE games of that series, before the Dodgers salvaged the final game on Sunday by scoring once in the 8th and twice in the 9th to escape with a 6-5 victory. The two teams hook up this weekend in Philly for a three-game series beginning tonight. The Dodgers lead the NL West at 25-12 but the Padres are just 1 1/2-games behind them, and the Giants sit three games back. The Phillies are just 18-20 and are already SEVEN games behind the Mets in the NL East.
The Dodgers haven't lost since last Sunday's 6-5comeback win, carrying that momentum over to a four-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks, while scoring 29 runs. L A was off Thursday and gets a quick rematch with the Phillies, who lost two of three at home against the Padres (SD won 3-0 and 2-0, while Philadelphia won 3-0!). The Dodgers will hand the ball to Julio Urias (2-3, 3.00 ERA), who was MLB's lone 20-game winner in 2021 (20-3 with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 32 starts). Ranger Suarez (4-1, 3.72 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Phillies. Urias had a poor first start in 2002 but then allowed just four ERs over his next five (28 IP with a 1.29 ERA). However, he lost 8-3 last Saturday at home to the Phillies, allowing five ERs on eight hits (4 HRs) in six innings. Suarez was his mound opponent last weekend, allowing three ERs in seven innings. This is Suarez's fifth MLB season and he's 19-9 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
However, he's made just 22 starts in his 90 career appearances. Urias is the more polished starter and the Dodgers lead all of MLB in scoring (5.49 RPG) and team ERA (2.85). In this quick 're-hook' I'm on Urias and the Dodgers.
Friday NHL Free play. My selection is on Edmonton +1.5 goals over Calgary at 10:30 pm et on Friday.
The Oilers dug an early 3-0 hole (they also trailed 5-1) and while they did rally all the way back to tie the game at six goals apiece at one point, they ultimately fell short in a wild 9-6 decision in Game 1 of the 'Battle of Alberta' two nights ago. This Oilers squad has shown plenty of resiliency and I certainly expect them to bounce back with a much sharper effort in Game 2 on Friday. As we noted in the opening round, Calgary has fared much better when tied or trailing in a series rather than leading. The Flames check in a woeful 6-21 in their last 27 games when ahead in a series, averaging only 2.2 goals per game while being outscored by an average margin of 0.7 goals along the way. They're also just 5-7 when coming off a game in which they scored 5+ goals this season, which is a rather poor record when you consider this is a team that has gone 55-35 overall this season. For their part, the Oilers are an impressive 32-13 when coming off a game in which they allowed 5+ goals over the last three seasons, averaging 3.6 goals per game while outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals per contest in that spot. Remember, the Oilers posted a perfect 2-0 record when trailing the series against Los Angeles last round, winning those two games by a combined 10-2 margin. Take Edmonton +1.5 goals.
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Oakland and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Friday.
The Angels are coming off a wild, high-scoring sweep at the hands of the Rangers in Texas. The off day yesterday likely served them well, their bullpen in particular. Keep in mind, the Halos wrapped up a seven-game in six-day stretch on Wednesday, with their 'pen forced to work 26 1/3 innings. Rookie Chase Silseth will make his second big league start for Los Angeles, interestingly enough it will also be his second start against the A's. While I would generally say that means advantage hitters, here I'm not so sure given just how putrid the A's offense has been this season. Meanwhile, the A's will hand the ball to their ace, Paul Blackburn. He hasn't been getting much attention pitching for an awful Oakland club but he continues to perform well, recording a 1.67 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in seven starts this season. His perfect 4-0 record is all the more impressive when you consider the A's have managed only 16 wins in 40 games this season. Blackburn has been at his best in four road outings, posting a minuscule 0.83 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. While facing the Angels might seem like an unenviable task, he has tamed their lineup in two previous outings against them, allowing just one earned run in 13 1/3 innings, including 6 2/3 innings of shutout ball in his lone previous start here in Anaheim. The A's bullpen will be happy to hit the road after a tough series against the Twins, noting that they've recorded a collective 2.65 ERA and 1.24 WHIP away from the Coliseum this season. They should have also benefited from the day off on Thursday after logging 25 2/3 innings over their last seven games, not to mention playing 15 games in the previous 13 days. Take the under.
This is a free play on Over.
The Cubs were in Arizona last weekend, and that means that the starting pitchers here in Friday's game will be facing the same lineup for the second time in less than a week. Combine that with strong gusts blowing out to center field in the Windy City, and it could be a tough day to be a pitcher a Wrigley. The over is 9-1-1 in the Diamondbacks last 11 games as an underdog, and they have gone over in eight of their last nine road games.
Get Started - How Does Covers Experts work?
at covers experts
Winning Starts Here
How to use Free Picks
You can browse all current Free Picks across all sports above. You can also see the odds and the online sportsbook that offered the line that the handicapper preferred at the time that the pick was released. But the true value in Free Picks comes from clicking the View Pick Analysis link located at the bottom of each pick above. Here, you’ll get insights into the rationale behind the Free Pick. Remember that a Free Pick is usually a 1-star play unless otherwise noted in the analysis. Premium Picks usually range between 5 stars and 10 stars per play.
Why do the Experts give out Free Picks?
Free Picks allows you to gain insights into how the Experts make a selection. Each of our professional handicappers has their own unique style of breaking down a matchup. Read the Free Picks analysis to learn what each of the Experts is looking at when making a selection. Basically, we want you to use Free Picks as a free trial before buying Premium Picks or even a subscription to a handicapper.